Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Referee: Motta S. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Liverpool Montevideo		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3	Watch
	2.28	3.2	2.98
	2.41	3.3	3.07
	2.24	3.29	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.21	3.22	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.07)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	3.07 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
40.8%

Draw
29%

Deportivo Maldonado
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28.2%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Campana M. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 3. Strasorier S. 15. Laquidain S. 34. Lewis K. 20. Rabunal M. 5. Garayalde N. 24. Amaro K. 22. Zabala D. 7. Martinez F. 11. Bentancourt R.	25. Segovia D. (G) 32. Petryk H. 3. Menosse H. 42. Fernandez J. 22. Ramos J. 17. Ramirez S. 15. Gonzalez S. 14. Tabo C. 10. Noble Sequeira A. M. 21. Espindola M. 16. Cesar R.
Substitutes
16. Acosta L. 31. Barcelo F. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 23. Castillo E. 18. Cayetano A. 10. Degregorio R. M. 17. de Mello G. 9. Machado R. 29. Olivera E. 27. Romero D.	80. Centeno B. 9. de Leon E. 1. Freitas A. (G) 33. Fuica N. 4. Ginzo J. M. 11. Lopez G. 5. Nunez L. 19. Tealde F. 20. Tormo S. 23. Vila A.
Coaches
Speranza C.	Di Noia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Perdomo F. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Noble Sequeira A. M. ⚽,
42', Menosse H. 🟨,
45+1', Petryk H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Menosse H. ↓, Fuica N. ↑,
47', Petryk H. 🟨,
51', Ramos J. 🟨,
51', Tabo C. ↓, Ginzo J. M. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Ginzo J. M. ⚽,
58', Perdomo F. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
58', Garayalde N. ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
64', Ramos J. ↓, Tormo S. ↑,
64', Ramirez S. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
68', Lewis K. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
77', Noble Sequeira A. M. 🟨,
77', Bentancourt R. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
84', Romero D. 🟨,
88', Noble Sequeira A. M. ↓, Vila A. ↑,
89', Vila A. 🟨,
90+2', Espindola M. 🟨,
90+3', Zabala D. 🟥,
90+4', Segovia D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Liverpool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Maldonado	9	5	2	2	13:5	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.03.26	Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo	3:3 ✺
24.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Central Español	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLTW
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.26	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo City Torque	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
15.09.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1
03.03.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2
02.12.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2
03.07.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:2
07.05.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	4:2
28.08.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
23.07.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1

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