Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.57	2.4	Watch
	2.95	2.75	2.7
	3.3	2.72	2.52	Watch
	3.54	2.76	2.57
	3.44	2.75	2.52
	3.2	2.63	2.5
	3.42	2.66	2.51	Watch
	3.5	2.85	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)	2.5 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
27.9%

Draw
34.6%

Rosario Central
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

32.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

31.8%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Rosario (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 25%). Rosario (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 4. Giampaoli R. 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 16. Max A. 8. Fernandez N. 10. Schelotto N. 5. Miramon I. 7. Panaro M. 32. Torres M.	23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 33. Soto A. 16. Gimenez E. 31. Navarro F. 20. Pizarro V. 11. Di Maria A. 22. Copetti E. 18. Fernandez J.
Substitutes
33. Aguiar P. 29. Auzmendi A. 19. Castro L. 35. Cortazzo J. 30. De Asis J. 14. Errecalde G. 2. Gonzalez G. 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 6. Mastrangelo D. 22. Melluso M. 11. Merlo J. 26. Torres F.	1. Broun J. (G) 8. Campaz J. 26. Cantizano G. 27. Duarte G. 28. Fernandez P. 5. Ibarra F. 39. Oviedo F. 47. Raffin L. 3. Sandez A. 45. Scaglia J. 10. Segovia S. 9. Veliz A.
Coaches
Zaniratto F.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
45+1', Navarro F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Gimenez E. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
57', Schelotto N. 🟨,
60', Navarro F. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
60', Di Maria A. ↓, Campaz J. ↑,
64', Fernandez P. 🟨,
67', Fernandez N. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
67', Torres M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
70', Soto A. ↓, Sandez A. ↑,
70', Fernandez J. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
71', Schelotto N. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
72', Torres F. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Avila G. ⚽, Campaz J. (A),
81', Max A. ↓, Merlo J. ↑,
81', Panaro M. ↓, De Asis J. ↑,
82', Sandez A. 🟨,
83', Copetti E. ↓, Raffin L. ↑,
89', Miramon I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rosario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rosario has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J. (Muscle Injury) Duarte G. (Inactive) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Mallo Blanco F. (Inactive) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia La Plata - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Rosario Central - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.75%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Barracas Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWL
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.26	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
11.02.26	Rosario Central - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	Aldosivi - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Rosario Central - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	0:3
15.03.25	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1
05.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.02.24	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1
23.09.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.03.23	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1
24.06.22	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1

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