Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.2	1.86	Watch
	3.6	2.95	2.15
	4.35	3.15	1.92	Watch
	4.97	3.2	1.92
	4.46	3.08	1.98	Watch
	4.6	2.9	1.85
	4.68	3.06	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (3.62)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	1.94 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
21%

Draw
30.5%

Rosario Central
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

31%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

30.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rosario will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Rosario (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Rosario (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 14. Mendez A. 15. Salcedo S. 23. Goitea N. 24. Risso G. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. 10. Acuna V. 27. Herrera L. 33. Nunez W. 99. Ramirez I.	23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 16. Gimenez E. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 9. Veliz A. 18. Fernandez J.
Substitutes
25. Cabrera B. 17. Garcia F. 19. Gomez J. 20. Guch F. 9. Hoyos M. 3. Luciano M. 29. Noguera F. 7. Orozco F. 30. Reinatti J. (G) 28. Russo J. 22. Salomon O. 36. Scarpeccio F.	1. Broun J. (G) 8. Campaz J. 22. Copetti E. 27. Duarte G. 28. Fernandez P. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 2. Quintana C. 47. Raffin L. 29. Ruben M. 10. Segovia S. 33. Soto A.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Acuna V. 🟨,
35', Gimenez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mendez A. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Di Maria A. ⚽, Avila G. (A),
58', Acuna V. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
61', Di Maria A. ↓, Campaz J. ↑,
66', Nunez W. ↓, Orozco F. ↑,
66', Ramirez I. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
68', Ibarra F. 🟨,
74', Pizarro V. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
75', Veliz A. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
75', Fernandez J. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
75', Risso G. ↓, Russo J. ↑,
76', Coronel E. 🟨,
81', 0 - 2, Copetti E. ⚽,
84', Herrera L. 🟨,
84', Ibarra F. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 0.

Newells Old Boys is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rosario is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rosario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Coccaro M. (Inactive) Luciano M. (Inactive) Montero A. (Knee Injury) Mosquera J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Lovera M. (Inactive) Mallo Blanco F. (Inactive) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)

There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Arias G. (Injury) Sotelo D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Newells Old Boys - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 26.09%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Banfield - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLL
- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
11.02.26	Rosario Central - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	Aldosivi - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.25	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0
16.02.25	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	1:2
10.08.24	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.02.24	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:1
30.09.23	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.04.23	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:0
21.07.22	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0

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