Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Max, TNT Sports
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Argentinos Juniors		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	6.5	Watch
	1.7	3.1	6.25
	1.75	3.05	6.1	Watch
	1.79	3.1	6.41
	1.73	3.14	6.48	Watch
	1.75	3	6
	1.75	3	6.5	Watch
	1.75	3.05	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.03)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	6.29 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
54.1%

Draw
30.9%

San Lorenzo
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	5.6%	0%

Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - San Lorenzo (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Argentinos Juniors (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentinos Juniors will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 8 - 88.9%). San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 6. Vega R. 24. Fattori F. 8. Rodriguez A. (C) 11. Herrera J. 10. Lescano A. 21. Oroz N. 27. Molina T.	12. Gill O. (G) 4. Romana J. 23. Hernandez G. 37. Baez E. 36. Herrera D. 38. Perruzzi I. 24. Tripichio N. 7. Cerutti E. 10. Muniain I. (C) 21. Braida M. 9. Vombergar A.
Substitutes
33. Antoni M. 13. Ardaiz J. 5. Cardozo J. 15. Gamarra A. 25. Gomez L. 31. Porcel D. 20. Prieto S. 2. Ramirez T. 7. Rodriguez S. 9. Romero M. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 18. Sosa I.	15. Cecchini E. 28. Cuello A. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 16. Dominguez N. 32. Herrera E. 19. Insaurralde M. 34. Lopez F. 53. Pedroza R. 11. Reali M. 22. Salinardi Branco 26. Vega J. 51. Zelaya M. A.
Coaches
Diez N.	Russo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Herrera E. 🟨,
42', Vega R. 🟨,
43', Herrera J. 🟨,
45+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Vombergar A. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
73', Herrera J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
76', Cerutti E. 🟨,
77', Cerutti E. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
77', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
81', Braida M. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
83', Oroz N. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
85', Muniain I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Molina T. ⚽,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, Lozano L. (Pen),
1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
2, Sosa I. (Pen),
2, Cuello A. (Pen),
3, Prieto S. (Pen),
3, Baez E. (Pen),
4, Ardaiz J. (Pen),
4, Herrera E. (Pen),
5, Rodriguez D. (Pen),
5, Dominguez N. (Pen),
6, Molina T. (Pen),
6, Tripichio N. (Pen),
7, Lescano A. (Pen),
7, Reali M. (Pen),
8, Romero M. (Pen),
8, Hernandez G. (Pen),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3.

Argentinos Juniors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of home games.

In this match, Argentinos Juniors is considered a favorite.

We predict that Argentinos Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.25	Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	3:1 ✺
02.05.25	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Central Norte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWW
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.25	San Lorenzo - Tigre	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.12.24	Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:0
22.07.23	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	0:2
30.07.22	Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.02.22	Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.08.21	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.21	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	1:1
22.11.20	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	2:0

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