Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.7	2.55	Watch
	3.4	2.65	2.45
	3.25	2.72	2.58	Watch
	3.53	2.8	2.66
	3.39	2.75	2.56	Watch
	3.34	2.68	2.6	Watch
	3.25	2.72	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.51)	2.72 ↑ (2.69)	2.57 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
28.1%

Draw
34.9%

San Lorenzo
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

35.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

35.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	63.6%	27.3%

Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 17. Vallejos J. 14. Roncaglia F. 2. Insaurralde J. 39. Godoy J. 28. Gho J. 23. Gimenez E. 8. Paradela F. 33. Diaz G. 15. Suhr L. 20. Frias F.	12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 23. Hernandez G. 37. Baez E. 15. Cecchini E. 38. Perruzzi F. 11. Reali M. 10. Muniain I. 28. Cuello A. 9. Vombergar A.
Substitutes
6. Andrada J. 26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 22. Burgoa V. 10. Carabajal G. 24. Molina A. 11. Monaco M. 18. Morales I. 44. Orihuela R. 30. Renteria J. 34. Seyral A. 21. Vigo A.	25. Devecchi J. (G) 16. Dominguez N. 41. Escalante V. 36. Herrera D. 19. Insaurralde M. 50. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 39. Montenegro L. 53. Pedroza R. 22. Salinardi Branco 26. Vega J. 51. Zelaya M. A.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.	Russo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Cecchini E. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. (Own goal),
41', Vallejos J. 🟨,
45+1', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
56', Suhr L. 🟨,
58', Paradela F. 🟨,
59', Paradela F. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
64', Roncaglia F. 🟨,
65', Cecchini E. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
65', Suhr L. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
66', Gho J. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
70', Diaz G. ↓, Andrada J. ↑,
70', Frias F. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Molina A. (Own goal),
89', Herrera D. 🟨,
90+3', Perruzzi F. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Garcia M. (Yellow Cards) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Elbow Injury) Cerutti E. (Yellow Cards) Dominguez N. (Muscle Injury) Irala E. (Yellow Cards) Pagano R. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

San Lorenzo - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.88%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.25	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Platense	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLWLT
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.04.25	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	San Martín de San Juan - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	San Lorenzo - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.06.24	San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
30.10.23	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.02.23	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	0:1
17.10.22	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	2:4
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.04.22	Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.11.21	San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0

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