Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Aris		Sparta Prague

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.75
	4	4.1	1.78
	4.05	4.35	1.78
	4.18	4.3	1.78
	4.19	4.31	1.77
	3.9	4.2	1.73
	4.1	4.25	1.77
	4.1	4.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.7)	4.25 ↑ (3.82)	1.77 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
23.5%

Draw
22.5%

Sparta Prague
54%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.7%

24.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.9%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	5.3%	86%

Aris - Sparta Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: Sparta Prague will win (49 of 57 users predict this - 85.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.94% – 94.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vana Alves (C) 20. Yago S. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 72. Urosevic S. 3. Caju 21. Mayambela M. 37. Szoke J. 23. Struski K. 14. Gomis Y. 7. Bengtsson L. 9. Kokorin A.	1. Vindahl P. (G) 41. Vitik M. 25. Sorensen A. 37. Krejci L. (C) 2. Preciado A. 20. Laci Q. 6. Kairinen K. 30. Zeleny J. 14. Birmancevic V. 9. Kuchta J. 22. Haraslin L.
Substitutes
80. Babicka S. 31. Brorsson F. 8. Brown M. 78. Chrysostomou K. (G) 12. Dimitriou A. 66. Montnor J. 90. Sofroniou E. (G) 10. Spoljaric M. 11. Stepinski M.	5. Gomez J. 10. Karabec A. 7. Olatunji V. 8. Pavelka D. 21. Pesek J. 32. Rynes M. 18. Sadilek L. 39. Sejk V. 29. Sevcik M. 24. Vorel V. (G) 26. Vydra P. 28. Wiesner T.
Coaches
Shpilevski A.	Priske B.

Preview

Recent matches Aris is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sparta Prague is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sparta Prague could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aris have a series of guest games.

In this match Sparta Prague is a favorite.

There are questionable in Aris: Babicka S. (Muscle Injury) Boakye E. (Injury) Gomis Y. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Sorensen A. (Health problems)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
04.12.23	AEK Athens - Aris	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Glasgow Rangers - Aris	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
26.11.23	Aris - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Volos - Aris	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Betis - Aris	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWL
- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
09.12.23	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Pardubice - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Sparta Prague - Betis	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
26.11.23	Sparta Prague - Zlín	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Sparta Prague - Aris	3:2

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