Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gdyni (Gdynia)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Arka Gdynia		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.56	4.05
	1.95	3.51	3.76	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.88	3.55	3.77	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)	3.47 ↓ (3.57)	3.7 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arka Gdynia
48.2%

Draw
26.7%

Ruch Chorzów
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

25.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Ruch Chorzów have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lenarcik P. (G) 2. Navarro M. 29. Marcjanik M. 4. Dobrotka M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 27. Oliveira J. 14. Vitalucci H. 31. Staniszewski J. 19. Rzuchowski M. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 10. Czubak K.	88. Turk M. (G) 17. Lukic A. 20. Szymanski S. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 15. Konczkowski M. 25. Ventura D. 77. Laski W. 38. Karasinski S. 14. Nono 86. Novothny S. 95. Szczepan D.
Substitutes
20. Borecki M. 15. Hermoso K. 35. Jakubczyk K. 6. Lipkowski K. 21. Skora K. 7. Sobczak S. 32. Stolc P. 77. Weglarz D. (G) 28. Zielinski W.	24. Baranski B. 6. Chmarek M. 26. Gora L. 19. Lipinski K. 13. Moneta L. 27. Szwoch M. 1. Szymanski J. (G)
Coaches
Lobodzinski W.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Lukic A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Szczepan D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Vitalucci H. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
60', Nono ↓, Szwoch M. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Marcjanik M. ⚽,
67', Novothny S. 🟨,
74', Laski W. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
74', Konczkowski M. ↓, Gora L. ↑,
78', Novothny S. 🟨,
82', Staniszewski J. ↓, Zielinski W. ↑,
87', Oliveira J. ↓, Skora K. ↑,
89', Skora K. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ruch Chorzów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arka won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
19.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
09.08.24	Arka Gdynia - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
29.07.24	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
22.07.24	Stal Rzeszów - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWWL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
18.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
12.08.24	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
02.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
19.07.24	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
13.05.23	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	0:2
16.10.22	Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia	2:4
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.05.17	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
05.12.16	Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia	1:2
29.07.16	Arka Gdynia - Ruch Chorzów	3:0

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