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Current Win Probability
Arminia Bielefeld 27.2%
Draw 26%
Eintracht Frankfurt 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.3%
26.3%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
20.1%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arminia Bielefeld that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eintracht Frankfurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 13 - 31.7%). Eintracht will win (votes: 22 - 53.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 38.4% – 69%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Arminia has the most likely position - 18 (14.32%), has project points - 34, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Eintracht has the most likely position - 7 (8.21%), has project points - 47, has currently - 1, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (14%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Arminia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Eintracht is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Eintracht will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.
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