Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1, Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.33	4.2	Watch
	1.52	4.75	5.25
	1.7	4.25	4.25	Watch
	1.74	4.45	4.44
	1.74	4.39	4.2	Watch
	1.67	4	4	Watch
	1.77	4.47	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)	4.38 ↓ (4.93)	4.39 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
56.5%

Draw
21.8%

Eintracht Frankfurt
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

19.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

18.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund's form might have worsened.

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.4%	5.9%	13.7%

Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Eintracht (1.71) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (41 of 50 users predict this - 82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.35% – 92.65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 6 - 75%). Eintracht (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 49. Reggiani L. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 7. Bellingham J. 14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. (C) 40. Inacio S. 9. Guirassy S.	23. Zetterer M. (G) 5. Amenda A. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 21. Brown N. 15. Skhiri E. 18. Dahoud M. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. Y. 8. Chaibi F. 25. Kalimuendo A.
Substitutes
27. Adeyemi K. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 33. Meyer A. (G) 8. Nmecha F. 6. Ozcan S. 21. Silva F. 25. Sule N. 24. Svensson D.	29. Amaimouni A. 19. Bahoya J. 9. Burkardt J. 22. Chandler T. 27. Gotze M. 6. Hojlund O. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 7. Knauff A. 16. Larsson H.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Uzun C. Y. ⚽, Dahoud M. (A),
21', Reggiani L. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Schlotterbeck N. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Dahoud M. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
57', Chaibi F. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Inacio S. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
74', Bellingham J. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
74', Brandt J. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
77', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Amaimouni A. ↑,
77', Kalimuendo A. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
78', Sabitzer M. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
78', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
82', Doan R. ↓, Burkardt J. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Burkardt J. ⚽,
88', Reggiani L. ↓, Sule N. ↑,
90+1', Inacio S. 🟨,
90+4', Kobel G. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:28. (average 2.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:9. (average 3.1:1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 8.73% Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	11:4	7	13
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9:10	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
03.05.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	4:0 ✺
18.04.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
09.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 penalties
German Bundesliga
17.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	2:0
24.08.24	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0
17.03.24	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1
29.10.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3
22.04.23	Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:0

Upcoming Matches