The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arminia Bielefeld 34.6%
Draw 26.2%
Hannover 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
26.9%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
26.6%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arminia Bielefeld that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
14.3%
78.6%
Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Arminia (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Hannover (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hannover will win
(11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%). Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hannover will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arminia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hannover (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 27. Boakye B. 5. Bauer M. 31. Knoche R. 29. Handwerker T. 21. Russo S. 14. Momuluh T. 6. Corboz M. (C) 38. Worl M. 22. Rochelt J. 28. Uldrikis R.
1. Noll N. (G) 17. Allgeier B. 6. Nawrocki M. 20. Okon I. 33. Neubauer M. 15. Aseko-Nkili N. 8. Leopold E. (C) 29. Oudenne K. 18. Yokota D. 9. Kallman B. 24. Saad E.
Substitutes
11. Grodowski J. 19. Grosser M. 24. Lannert C. 10. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 17. Sicker A. 7. Telalovic S. 44. Yasar E.
4. Blank H. 14. Chakroun H. 19. Kokolo W. 27. Matsuda H. 11. Pichler B. 26. Taibi W. 23. Thordarson S. T. 30. Weinkauf L. (G) 10. Weisshaupt N.
Coaches
Kniat M.
Titz C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Leopold E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Handwerker T. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Leopold E. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Kallman B. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
65', Yokota D. ↓, Chakroun H. ↑,
65', Saad E. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
68', Momuluh T. ↓, Grodowski J. ↑,
68', Rochelt J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
77', Chakroun H. 🟨,
82', Worl M. ↓, Yasar E. ↑,
82', Corboz M. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
84', Aseko-Nkili N. 🟨,
86', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
90', Boakye B. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
90+1', Bauer M. 🟨,
90+2', Oudenne K. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 2.
Arminia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hannover is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Arminia: Hagmann F.
(Tooth injury)
Hilterman J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Richter D.
(Knee Injury)
Schneider L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hannover: Chakroun H.
(Inactive)
Ghita V.
(Yellow Cards)
Pichler B.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Hannover: Tomiak B.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now
Hannover: 2.67% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.89%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Hannover
7
2
1
4
7:12
-5
7
15
Arminia Bielefeld
6
1
2
3
10:12
-2
5
Last Results with these Odds
Hannover - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.52%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.