Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:30	Disney+
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:30	Disney+
Colombia	12:30	Disney+
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	17:30	Viaplay
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Kosovo	18:30	Arena Premium 3
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Philippines	01:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:30	DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	18:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	20:30	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+
International	17:30	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.2	3.2	3.15	Watch
	2.29	3.35	3.46
	2.24	3.29	3.31	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.22	3.26	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)	3.27 ↓ (3.48)	3.24 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
42.2%

Draw
28.8%

Holstein Kiel
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	35.3%	5.9%

Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 57.1%) .

AH +0.25 - Holstein Kiel (1.84) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Holstein Kiel (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arminia Bielefeld will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Arminia (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 23. Schneider L. 5. Bauer M. 3. Felix J. 14. Momuluh T. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 17. Sicker A. 11. Grodowski J. 22. Rochelt J. 7. Telalovic S.	21. Krumrey J. (G) 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 29. Niehoff N. 28. Meffert J. 8. Tohumcu U. 47. Tolkin J. 7. Skrzybski S. (C) 10. Therkelsen J. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
27. Boakye B. 19. Grosser M. 24. Lannert C. 10. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 28. Uldrikis R. 38. Worl M. 44. Yasar E.	15. Davidsen K. 18. Jakupovic A. 20. Kapralik A. 16. Kelati A. 3. Komenda M. 23. Rosenboom L. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 1. Weiner T. (G)
Coaches
Kniat M.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Felix J. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,
17', Nekic I. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Schneider L. (Own goal),
45+2', 0 - 2, Nekic I. ⚽, Niehoff N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Schneider L. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
56', Ivezic M. 🟨,
58', Tohumcu U. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
64', Rochelt J. ↓, Worl M. ↑,
64', Telalovic S. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
66', Skrzybski S. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
66', Ivezic M. ↓, Komenda M. ↑,
67', Nekic I. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Grodowski J. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Therkelsen J. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
74', Harres P. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
77', Grodowski J. 🟨,
86', Grodowski J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Sarenren Bazee N. ⚽, Uldrikis R. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 5.

In recent matches, Arminia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Holstein Kiel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arminia Bielefeld	9	3	2	4	13:14	-1	11
18	Holstein Kiel	8	0	5	3	7:11	-4	5

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Arminia Bielefeld: 0.79% Holstein Kiel: 0.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Arminia Bielefeld - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.14%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
16.01.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTL
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
18.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Servette	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2
02.04.23	Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld	2:3
17.09.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	4:2
30.05.20	Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2
03.11.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	2:1
19.05.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	1:0
14.12.18	Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2

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