Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena (Hannover)

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hannover		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.95	Watch
	1.63	3.91	6.42
	1.65	3.71	5.67	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5
	1.62	3.62	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.66	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.88)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	5.65 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover
58.2%

Draw
25.1%

Holstein Kiel
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

25.9%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hannover's performance.

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holstein Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hannover that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	13.6%	9.1%

Hannover - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 58% – 94.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hannover (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hannover will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hannover (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Noll N. (G) 5. Ghita V. 3. Tomiak B. 20. Okon I. 33. Neubauer M. 8. Leopold E. 15. Aseko-Nkili N. 29. Oudenne K. 18. Yokota D. 9. Kallman B. 24. Saad E.	1. Weiner T. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 47. Tolkin J. 15. Davidsen K. 28. Meffert J. 20. Kapralik A. 16. Kelati A. 29. Niehoff N. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
17. Allgeier B. 4. Blank H. 19. Kokolo W. 16. Nielsen H. 13. Roggow F. 26. Taibi W. 23. Thordarson S. T. 30. Weinkauf L. (G) 10. Weisshaupt N.	18. Jakupovic A. 3. Komenda M. 25. Muller M. 48. Muqaj H. 40. Parduzi L. 2. Roslyng F. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 22. Schwab S. 10. Therkelsen J.
Coaches
Titz C.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kallman B. ⚽, Aseko-Nkili N. (A),
14', Zec D. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Aseko-Nkili N. ⚽,
43', Harres P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Niehoff N. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
52', Davidsen K. 🟨,
66', Meffert J. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Harres P. ⚽,
72', Saad E. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
72', Oudenne K. ↓, Taibi W. ↑,
72', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Kokolo W. ↑,
77', Okon I. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Thordarson S. T. ⚽, Kokolo W. (A),
82', Kallman B. ↓, Nielsen H. ↑,
84', Kelati A. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
88', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 3.

Hannover is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Holstein Kiel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hannover is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Hannover: Chakroun H. (Inactive) Matsuda H. (Illness)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tohumcu U. (Injury)

We predict that Hannover will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hannover won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hannover: 2.67% Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hannover	7	2	1	4	7:12	-5	7
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
30.01.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Hannover	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Hannover - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Hannover - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Holstein Kiel
German DFB Pokal
04.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	1:2
19.05.24	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	1:2
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	2:3
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	3:0
Club Friendly
07.07.23	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
28.05.23	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	1:5
11.11.22	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	1:1

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