Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
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Canada	DAZN Canada
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Magdeburg		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.14	3.8	3.43
	2.12	3.73	3.19	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.14	3.76	3.15	Watch
	2.08	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.09)	3.65 ↓ (3.67)	3.18 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
44.6%

Draw
25.8%

Arminia Bielefeld
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

25.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	26.7%	26.7%

Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reimann D. (C) 19. Musonda L. 24. Hugonet J. 5. Muller T. 17. Nollenberger A. 8. Ulrich L. 16. Mathisen M. 6. Stalmach D. 29. Ghrieb R. 22. Zukowski M. 23. Atik B.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 5. Bauer M. 31. Knoche R. 29. Handwerker T. 21. Russo S. 14. Momuluh T. 6. Corboz M. 38. Worl M. 22. Rochelt J. 28. Uldrikis R.
Substitutes
7. Bockhorn H. 9. Breunig M. 28. Geschwill M. 25. Gnaka S. 27. Hercher P. 30. Kruth N. (G) 21. Michel F. 10. Pesch N. 18. Tachie R.	27. Boakye B. 11. Grodowski J. 19. Grosser M. 10. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 17. Sicker A. 7. Telalovic S. 44. Yasar E.
Coaches
Sander P.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Lannert C. 🟨,
28', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Bauer M. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Russo S. 🟨,
64', Ghrieb R. ↓, Tachie R. ↑,
70', Lannert C. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
71', Worl M. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
79', Mathisen M. 🟨,
80', Uldrikis R. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
80', Momuluh T. ↓, Grodowski J. ↑,
80', Stalmach D. ↓, Gnaka S. ↑,
80', Ulrich L. ↓, Michel F. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Boakye B. ⚽, Sarenren Bazee N. (A),
89', Zukowski M. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
89', Musonda L. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
90+1', Corboz M. ↓, Yasar E. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 13)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Magdeburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Magdeburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Magdeburg: Baars M. (Illness) Chahed T. (Inactive) Dzogovic E. (Lacking Match Fitness) Holmstrom A. (Muscle Injury) Hyrylainen L. (Shin Injury) Krempicki C. (Lacking Match Fitness) Loric S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Magdeburg: Zukowski M. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Magdeburg: 3.2% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magdeburg	7	4	1	2	14:9	5	13
15	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10:12	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
06.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg	4:5 ✺
30.01.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Magdeburg - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
08.02.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
12.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	2:0
28.05.23	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:0
13.11.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	3:1
17.02.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg	1:3
17.09.18	Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0

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