Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Arouca		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.5
	1.9	3.3	3.75
	1.85	3.25	3.9
	1.88	3.3	3.9
	1.93	3.57	4.23
	1.88	3.3	4.2
	1.87	3.48	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	4.06 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
49.5%

Draw
27.6%

Benfica B
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

17.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arouca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arouca - Benfica B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.20	Cova De Piedade - Arouca	0:2 ✺
27.09.20	Arouca - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
22.09.20	Varzim - Arouca	0:0 ✺
19.09.20	Arouca - Leixões	0:0 ✺
10.09.20	Estoril Praia - Arouca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTTL
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.20	Benfica B - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Mafra - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
23.09.20	Benfica B - Chaves	3:4 ✺
19.09.20	Casa Pia - Benfica B	0:6 ✺
13.09.20	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.01.19	Benfica B - Arouca	3:1
19.08.18	Arouca - Benfica B	1:2
15.04.18	Arouca - Benfica B	1:0
01.12.17	Benfica B - Arouca	1:0
28.04.13	Benfica B - Arouca	1:1

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