Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Pinho J. (Por)


	Benfica B		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.5
	2.55	3.3	2.37
	2.6	3.35	2.4
	2.6	3.35	2.47
	2.73	3.56	2.59
	2.62	3.1	2.45
	2.58	3.42	2.53
	2.55	3.3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.85)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	2.47 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
35.3%

Draw
27.5%

Vilafranquense
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Benfica B - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vilafranquense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
25.02.23	Leixões - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Benfica B - Torreense	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Benfica B - Tondela	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWL
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.23	Vilafranquense - Porto B	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Feirense - Vilafranquense	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Vilafranquense - Trofense	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Oliveirense - Vilafranquense	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Vilafranquense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.09.22	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	3:2
01.05.22	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	1:2
20.12.21	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	0:0
31.01.21	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	2:2
13.09.20	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	3:2
02.02.20	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	4:0
18.08.19	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	4:0

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