Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Neves G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Mafra		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.45
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.96	3.28	2.52
	2.9	3.19	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	2.92	3.25	2.41
	2.8	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.97)	3.2 ↑ (3.14)	2.43 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
32.9%

Draw
29%

Benfica B
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

29.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Mafra - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraisl M. (G) 15. Guilherme (C) 32. Rodrigo Freitas 66. Capitao D. 5. Beni D. 3. Chriso 20. Maiga Y. 10. Fale M. 9. Nibe A. 19. Iheanacho S. 90. Etim F.	75. Gomes A. (G) 82. Spencer D. 76. Gustavo Marques 66. Wynder J. 78. Kiko (C) 83. Luis R. 86. Prioste D. 99. Farias L. 79. Felix H. 77. Sousa G. 97. Melro J.
Substitutes
80. Goncalves V. 45. Kamara A. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 7. Matos R. 35. Monteiro V. 6. Pereira P. 21. Precatado J. 2. Texel P.	54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 60. Felix N. 62. Lacroix L. 90. Lima I. 72. Okon-Engstler P. 71. Santos L. 92. Souza P. (G) 89. Varela G. 68. Veloso J.
Coaches
Ferreira T.	Verissimo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Capitao D. ⚽, Nibe A. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Fale M. ⚽, Nibe A. (A),
21', Guilherme 🟨,
32', Maiga Y. 🟨,
38', Iheanacho S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Spencer D. ↓, Santos L. ↑,
56', Felix H. ↓, Felix N. ↑,
57', Luis R. ↓, Veloso J. ↑,
65', Fale M. ↓, Precatado J. ↑,
70', Melro J. ↓, Varela G. ↑,
73', Guilherme ↓, Texel P. ↑,
73', Maiga Y. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
77', Precatado J. 🟨,
81', Farias L. ↓, Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. ↑,
86', Iheanacho S. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
86', Nibe A. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:21 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.24	Mafra - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Penafiel - Mafra	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Felgueiras - Mafra	1:1 ✺
28.10.24	Mafra - Leiria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLTW
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
07.12.24	Benfica B - Leiria	0:5 ✺
01.12.24	Marítimo - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Portimonense - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Benfica B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
20.01.24	Mafra - Benfica B	1:2
13.08.23	Benfica B - Mafra	3:2
01.04.23	Mafra - Benfica B	1:1
18.10.22	Benfica B - Mafra	5:1
02.04.22	Mafra - Benfica B	2:1
07.11.21	Benfica B - Mafra	1:3
22.02.21	Benfica B - Mafra	2:0

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