Match Info

Date: 22 September 2020, Tuesday


	Varzim		Arouca

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.2	2.95	3.25
	2.32	3	3
	2.33	2.9	3.15
	2.47	3.17	3.2
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.38	3	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.81)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	3.16 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
40%

Draw
30.6%

Arouca
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varzim's form might have worsened.

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arouca's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	28.1%	28.1%

Varzim - Arouca Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). Arouca will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varzim: 26.6% – 61%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Varzim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Varzim will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.20	Chaves - Varzim	0:0 ✺
13.09.20	Varzim - Porto B	1:0 ✺
08.03.20	Chaves - Varzim	1:1 ✺
01.03.20	Varzim - Mafra	2:1 ✺
23.02.20	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWTWW
- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
19.09.20	Arouca - Leixões	0:0 ✺
10.09.20	Estoril Praia - Arouca	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.20	Gondomar - Arouca	1:0 ✺
23.02.20	Arouca - Pedras Rubras	4:2 ✺
16.02.20	Paredes - Arouca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.19	Varzim - Arouca	1:0
09.12.18	Arouca - Varzim	0:1
25.02.18	Arouca - Varzim	1:2
17.09.17	Varzim - Arouca	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
04.01.17	Arouca - Varzim	3:0
11.10.15	Varzim - Arouca	0:1 penalties
Club Friendly
11.07.15	Arouca - Varzim	1:0

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