Match Info

Date: 27 February 2021, Saturday


	Arouca		Cova De Piedade

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.57	3.7	5.25
	1.48	3.75	6
	1.52	3.7	6
	1.53	4.14	6.87
	1.55	3.8	6.5
	1.59	3.7	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	3.77 ↑ (3.48)	6.11 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
60.3%

Draw
24.5%

Cova De Piedade
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.5%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.8%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Arouca - Cova De Piedade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

Arouca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cova De Piedade is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cova De Piedade could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Arouca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
21.02.21	Académico de Viseu - Arouca	0:4 ✺
13.02.21	Arouca - Varzim	0:0 ✺
06.02.21	Leixões - Arouca	0:1 ✺
02.02.21	Arouca - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
24.01.21	Chaves - Arouca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWL
- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
20.02.21	Cova De Piedade - Chaves	1:1 ✺
17.02.21	Cova De Piedade - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Académica Coimbra - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
08.02.21	Cova De Piedade - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
02.02.21	Mafra - Cova De Piedade	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.20	Cova De Piedade - Arouca	0:2
10.03.19	Arouca - Cova De Piedade	0:1
03.11.18	Cova De Piedade - Arouca	1:0
29.01.18	Arouca - Cova De Piedade	0:0
19.08.17	Cova De Piedade - Arouca	3:0
Portuguese League Cup
26.10.16	Arouca - Cova De Piedade	2:1

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