Match Info

Date: 2 February 2021, Tuesday


	Mafra		Cova De Piedade

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.5
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.75	3.2	4.5
	1.85	3.2	4.2
	1.9	3.37	4.69
	1.88	3.2	4.4
	1.83	3.38	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	4.4 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
50.4%

Draw
28.5%

Cova De Piedade
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cova De Piedade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mafra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cova De Piedade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	11.1%	18.5%

Mafra - Cova De Piedade Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Cova De Piedade will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mafra: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Mafra is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
24.01.21	Mafra - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Arouca - Mafra	0:0 ✺
11.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	1:0 ✺
03.01.21	Mafra - Chaves	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Mafra - Oliveirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLT
- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
25.01.21	Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
10.01.21	Vizela - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
04.01.21	Cova De Piedade - Porto B	1:1 ✺
29.12.20	Oliveirense - Cova De Piedade	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Cova De Piedade - Penafiel	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.20	Cova De Piedade - Mafra	0:4
26.01.20	Cova De Piedade - Mafra	1:1
10.08.19	Mafra - Cova De Piedade	3:2
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Mafra - Cova De Piedade	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
27.04.19	Mafra - Cova De Piedade	1:0
29.12.18	Cova De Piedade - Mafra	0:3

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