Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday


	Cova De Piedade		Chaves

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.85	Watch
	4.1	2.9	1.95
	3.95	3.15	1.9
	4.1	3.2	1.91
	4.29	3.4	1.97
	4	3.1	2
	3.88	3.28	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.75)	3.16 ↑ (2.89)	1.93 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cova De Piedade
22.8%

Draw
29.3%

Chaves
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

32%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

23.8%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cova De Piedade - Chaves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cova De Piedade could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chaves will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cova De Piedade won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cova De Piedade won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.21	Cova De Piedade - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Académica Coimbra - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
08.02.21	Cova De Piedade - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
02.02.21	Mafra - Cova De Piedade	1:1 ✺
25.01.21	Casa Pia - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWTL
- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
14.02.21	Chaves - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
06.02.21	Varzim - Chaves	1:3 ✺
30.01.21	Chaves - Feirense	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	Chaves - Arouca	2:1 ✺
16.01.21	Leixões - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.09.20	Chaves - Cova De Piedade	1:0
04.01.20	Cova De Piedade - Chaves	0:2
Taça de Portugal
19.10.14	Chaves - Cova De Piedade	7:0

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