Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Arouca		Porto B

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	5
	1.57	3.9	4.75
	1.6	4	4.5
	1.57	3.85	5.4
	1.61	4.3	5.42
	1.62	3.6	5.8
	1.59	3.85	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)	3.98 ↓ (4.15)	5.17 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
58.6%

Draw
23.4%

Porto B
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

18.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	7.4%	48.1%

Arouca - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 12 - 44.4%). Porto B will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Arouca is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porto B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porto B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Arouca won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Taça de Portugal
21.11.20	Arouca - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.20	Feirense - Arouca	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Arouca - Vizela	2:1 ✺
23.10.20	Penafiel - Arouca	2:2 ✺
17.10.20	Arouca - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWTW
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
07.11.20	Porto B - Mafra	1:2 ✺
31.10.20	Covilhã - Porto B	4:0 ✺
24.10.20	Porto B - Chaves	1:2 ✺
17.10.20	Casa Pia - Porto B	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Porto B - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
24.02.19	Arouca - Porto B	1:0
07.10.18	Porto B - Arouca	0:1
21.01.18	Porto B - Arouca	1:1
13.08.17	Arouca - Porto B	2:2
07.04.13	Porto B - Arouca	2:0
11.11.12	Arouca - Porto B	0:0

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