The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Porto B 27.4%
Draw 28.3%
Chaves 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
29.4%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
29.4%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto B's form might have worsened.
Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaves's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Porto B - Chaves Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Chaves will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Porto B (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Ribeiro G. (G) 64. Gomes L. 73. Bras G. (C) 44. Felipe Silva 80. Henrique Kaio 92. Teixeira J. 88. Andrade D. 58. Silva T. 49. Sousa G. 79. Vonic L. 59. Andrade T.
1. Vozinha (C) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 33. Simoes T. 3. Romero A. 19. Tiago Almeida 20. Ktatau 8. Pinho P. 77. Reinaldo 7. Delgado J. 17. Roberto 10. Rodrigues A.
Substitutes
67. Carvalho G. 57. Cunha D. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 60. Fernandes F. 53. Ferreira E. 66. Lima B. 43. Melnichenko T. 89. Mide M. 54. Ribeiro A.
44. Bikoro F. 15. Carraca 27. Esajas R. 23. Gudzulic M. (G) 5. Kiko 30. Kusso D. 22. Muscat Z. 29. Tounkara M. 21. Wellington Carvalho
Coaches
Brandao J.
Martins V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Vonic L. ⚽,
26', Andrade T. 🟨,
37', Gomes L. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Vonic L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tiago Almeida ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
60', Reinaldo ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
60', Romero A. ↓, Carraca ↑,
66', Sousa G. ↓, Cunha D. ↑,
69', Ktatau ↓, Bikoro F. ↑,
69', Rodrigues A. ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
72', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
73', Silva T. ↓, Mide M. ↑,
73', Teixeira J. ↓, Lima B. ↑,
77', Andrade T. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
78', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Mide M. ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Chaves
6
1
1
4
5:13
-8
4
17
FC Porto B
6
1
1
4
4:13
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Chaves - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.6%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Ribeiro G. (G) 
Felipe Silva 
Andrade D. 
Vonic L. 
Vozinha (C) 
Romero A. 
Melnichenko T. 
Bikoro F. 
Esajas R. 
Gudzulic M. (G) 
Muscat Z. 
Tounkara M. 
