Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Arroyo		Pueblonuevo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.7
	2.35	3.15	2.8
	2.37	3.24	2.79	Watch
	2.46	3.4	2.72
	2.35	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.76 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arroyo
38.5%

Draw
28.6%

Pueblonuevo
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Pueblonuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Arroyo - Pueblonuevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Cortes Gallego K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Arroyo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pueblonuevo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	CD Extremadura - Arroyo	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Jaraíz - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Arroyo - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Arroyo - Llerenense	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTLL
- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.03.25	Pueblonuevo - Llerenense	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Olivenza - Pueblonuevo	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Pueblonuevo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Santa Amalia - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Pueblonuevo - Calamonte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
03.11.24	Pueblonuevo - Arroyo	3:1
07.01.24	Pueblonuevo - Arroyo	2:1
15.01.23	Arroyo - Pueblonuevo	1:0
11.09.22	Pueblonuevo - Arroyo	0:3

Arroyo - Pueblonuevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide