Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj TV
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ France, CANAL+ Premier League, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	Laola1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
India	JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports Select 1
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	SKY Go Italia
Malaysia	Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FuboTV, NBC Universo, NBC, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Arsenal		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.71	3.90	4.60
	1.72	3.7	4.85
	1.74	3.95	5.1
	1.78	3.95	4.65	Watch
	1.71	3.85	5.05
	1.76	4.01	5.07	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)	3.88 ↑ (3.87)	4.86 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
55.5%

Draw
24.7%

Chelsea
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.5%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.2%	18.4%	20.4%

Arsenal - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 30 - 61.2%). Chelsea will win (votes: 10 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 47.6% – 74.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Chelsea (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.07) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Chelsea (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arsenal (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Chelsea (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 15. Konsa E. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 41. Rice D. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 7. Saka B. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 17. Tzolis C. 29. Havertz K.	1. Martinez E. (G) 34. Acheampong J. 5. Lacroix M. 3. Fofana W. 7. Neto P. 45. Lavia R. 24. James R. (C) 21. Hato J. 10. Palmer C. 17. Rogers M. 9. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 39. Bruno Guimaraes 56. Dowman M. 10. Eze E. 14. Gyokeres V. 5. Hincapie P. 20. Madueke N. 23. Merino M. 36. Zubimendi M.	4. Barco V. 29. Chavarria P. 6. Colwill L. 41. Estêvão 11. Gittens J. 27. Gusto M. 39. Penders M. (G) 23. Quenda G. 18. Welbeck D.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Rogers M. ⚽, Hato J. (A),
14', Joao Pedro 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Havertz K. ⚽, Rice D. (A),
45', Palmer C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Odegaard M. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
58', Tzolis C. 🟨,
58', Lacroix M. 🟨,
60', Hato J. ↓, Chavarria P. ↑,
60', Lavia R. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
66', Calafiori R. ↓, Hincapie P. ↑,
67', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Zubimendi M. ↑,
77', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
78', Havertz K. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
81', Neto P. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
83', Rogers M. 🟨,
87', Rogers M. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
90', Saka B. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
90+5', Merino M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 4.

Arsenal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelsea is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Arsenal is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Saliba W. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Henderson J. (Wrist Injury) Palestra M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Bruno Guimaraes (Knock) Mosquera C. (Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Caicedo M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 58.36% Chelsea: 5.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10:12	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.2%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
31.08.26	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Arsenal - Coventry City	3:0 ✺
English FA Community Shield
16.08.26	Arsenal - Manchester City	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Arsenal - Como	1:1 ✺
Emirates Cup
09.08.26	Arsenal - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
30.08.26	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.26	Chelsea - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.26	Fulham - Chelsea	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Chelsea - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Chelsea - Milan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
01.03.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	2:1
English League Cup
03.02.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3
English Premier League
30.11.25	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1
16.03.25	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0
10.11.24	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1
23.04.24	Arsenal - Chelsea	5:0

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