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Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 01, 2026)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Pershiy, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBCSN, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Arsenal		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.63	4	5.25
	1.5	4.55	6.3
	1.55	4.6	6.44
	1.53	4.57	6.25	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.75
	1.6	4.31	5.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)	4.35 ↑ (3.89)	5.97 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
61.9%

Draw
22%

Chelsea
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

23.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal's performance.

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	18.7%	8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 54 - 73%). Chelsea will win (votes: 6 - 8.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 62.9% – 83.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Chelsea (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chelsea (2.53) (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Arsenal (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Chelsea (4.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Chelsea (votes: 10 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 5. Hincapie P. 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. (C) 10. Eze E. 19. Trossard L. 14. Gyökeres V.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 24. James R. (C) 19. Sarr M. 23. Chalobah T. 21. Hato J. 25. Caicedo M. 17. Andrey Santos 10. Palmer C. 8. Fernandez E. 7. Neto P. 20. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 33. Calafiori R. 9. Gabriel Jesus 29. Havertz K. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 3. Mosquera C. 16. Norgaard C.	34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 5. Badiashile B. 9. Delap L. 49. Garnacho A. 38. Guiu M. 27. Gusto M. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 45. Lavia R.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Saliba W. ⚽, Gabriel (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Hincapie P. (Own goal), James R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Trossard L. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
59', Palmer C. 🟨,
65', Hato J. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Timber J. ⚽, Rice D. (A),
67', Neto P. 🟨,
70', Neto P. 🟨,
75', Gabriel 🟨,
75', Andrey Santos ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
75', Hato J. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
76', Gyökeres V. ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
76', Rice D. ↓, Norgaard C. ↑,
79', Fernandez E. 🟨,
86', Fernandez E. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
86', Palmer C. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
90', Sarr M. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3.

Arsenal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelsea has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Cucurella M. (Muscle Injury) Fofana W. (Red Card) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Havertz K. (Muscle Injury) Merino M. (Leg Injury) White B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Essugo D. (Injury) Estêvão (Muscle Injury) Jorgensen F. (Injury)

We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:23. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.1:0.8).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71:27	44	85
10	Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58:52	6	52

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.45%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
22.02.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
18.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Arsenal - Wigan Athletic	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.02.26	Brentford - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Arsenal - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWTW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
21.02.26	Chelsea - Burnley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Hull City - Chelsea	0:4 ✺
English Premier League
10.02.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
English League Cup
03.02.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
03.02.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3
English Premier League
30.11.25	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1
16.03.25	Arsenal - Chelsea	1:0
10.11.24	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1
23.04.24	Arsenal - Chelsea	5:0
21.10.23	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:2

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Arsenal - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide