Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
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Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Free
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Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
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Indonesia	Vidio
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Israel	Sport 1
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Japan	U-NEXT
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Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay
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Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Pro TV, Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 24 At Sea


	Liverpool		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	3
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.42	3.4	2.98
	2.44	3.4	3.1
	2.28	3.53	2.93	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.29	3.42	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.13)	3.42 ↓ (3.44)	3.03 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
40.7%

Draw
27.9%

Arsenal
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.3%	40.5%	15.2%

Liverpool - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 35 - 46.1%). Arsenal will win (votes: 12 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 38.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 34.9% – 57.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 15 - 44.1%). Arsenal (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Tie (votes: 14 - 41.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH +0.25 - Arsenal (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 54.5%) .

DC - draw (1.59) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 15 - 40.5%). Arsenal (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Tie (votes: 14 - 37.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 8. Szoboszlai D. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 7. Wirtz F. 18. Gakpo C. 22. Ekitike H.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel (C) 33. Calafiori R. 23. Merino M. 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 20. Madueke N. 14. Gyökeres V. 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
12. Bradley C. 14. Chiesa F. 19. Elliott H. 3. Endo W. 2. Gomez J. 17. Jones C. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 26. Robertson A.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 56. Dowman M. 10. Eze E. 71. Harriman-Annous A. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 3. Mosquera C. 22. Nwaneri E. 8. Odegaard M. 19. Trossard L.
Coaches
Slot A.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Saliba W. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
29', Gravenberch R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Mac Allister A. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
66', Gyökeres V. 🟨,
70', Merino M. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
70', Martinelli G. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
79', Ekitike H. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
79', Konate I. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
81', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Szoboszlai D. ⚽,
89', Wirtz F. ↓, Endo W. ↑,
89', Madueke N. ↓, Dowman M. ↑,
90+8', Endo W. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.

Liverpool is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Arsenal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arsenal has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Norgaard C. (Injury) Odegaard M. (Shoulder Injury) Setford T. (Injury) White B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:27. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:15. (average 2.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
25.08.25	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
15.08.25	Liverpool - Bournemouth	4:2 ✺
English FA Community Shield
10.08.25	Crystal Palace - Liverpool	3:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.25	Liverpool - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
04.08.25	Liverpool - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
23.08.25	Arsenal - Leeds United	5:0 ✺
17.08.25	Manchester United - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Emirates Cup
09.08.25	Arsenal - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Arsenal - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
31.07.25	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
11.05.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	2:2
27.10.24	Arsenal - Liverpool	2:2
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Liverpool - Arsenal	2:1
English Premier League
04.02.24	Arsenal - Liverpool	3:1
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:2
English Premier League
23.12.23	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:1
09.04.23	Liverpool - Arsenal	2:2

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