The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chelsea 52.2%
Draw 24.1%
Manchester United 23.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.1%
23.8%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
23.7%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
96.8%
3.2%
0%
Chelsea - Manchester United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Chelsea (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chelsea will win
(30 of 31 users predict this - 96.77%). Confidence interval (95%): 90.55% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 2.
In recent outings, Chelsea has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Man Utd is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Chelsea may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Chelsea is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:30 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chelsea against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:14 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Chelsea
8
4
1
3
17:15
2
13
16
Manchester Utd
8
1
4
3
10:13
-3
7
Outrights of English Premier League for now
Chelsea: 6.16%
Last Results with these Odds
Chelsea - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 50.08%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.