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Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, March 12, 2025)

Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, Play Sports Premier league, Play Sports Premier league
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 3, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
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Ireland	Virgin Media Player
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, TV8
Japan	Wowow Cinema
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ 360, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin Media More
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+


	Arsenal		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.38	4.8	8
	1.52	4.6	6.3	Watch
	1.5	4.52	6.84
	1.5	4.47	6.92	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.51	4.46	6.96
	1.52	4.6	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	4.51 ↓ (5.15)	6.73 ↓ (8.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
64.5%

Draw
21.3%

PSV Eindhoven
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

18.6%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

17.7%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	6%	11.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 54 - 84.4%). PSV will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 75.5% – 93.3%.

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 15. Kiwior J. 6. Gabriel 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 41. Rice D. 20. Jorginho (C) 17. Zinchenko O. 30. Sterling R. 23. Merino M. 3. Tierney K.	1. Benitez W. (G) 37. Ledezma R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 3. Malacia T. 20. Til G. 22. Schouten J. (C) 26. Babadi I. 11. Bakayoko J. 5. Perisic I. 21. Driouech C.
Substitutes
37. Butler-Oyedeji N. 33. Calafiori R. 46. Kabia I. 11. Martinelli G. 32. Neto (G) 53. Nwaneri E. 8. Odegaard M. 5. Partey T. 2. Saliba W. 36. Setford T. (G) 12. Timber J. 19. Trossard L.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 18. Boscagli O. 9. de Jong L. 8. Dest S. 16. Drommel J. (G) 6. Flamingo R. 2. Karsdorp R. 28. Land T. 10. Lang N. 24. Schiks N. (G) 23. Veerman J.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Zinchenko O. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
34', Babadi I. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Rice D. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
42', Kiwior J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Schouten J. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
63', Rice D. 🟨,
64', Rice D. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
64', Merino M. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
68', Perisic I. ↓, de Jong L. ↑,
69', Obispo A. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Driouech C. ⚽, Babadi I. (A),
77', Nagalo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
79', Zinchenko O. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
79', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
79', Tierney K. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
80', Driouech C. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
90+3', Sterling R. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 7-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.

Recently PSV have a series of home games.

In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury) Tillman M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Kuhn W. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
09.03.25	Manchester United - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:7 ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Arsenal - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Leicester City - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWTLW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:7 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.03.25	Go Ahead Eagles - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
26.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Juventus	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:7
12.12.23	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:1
20.09.23	Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven	4:0
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	2:0
20.10.22	Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven	1:0

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