Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj TV
Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2, SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ France, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max
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Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Pro TV, Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360, VieON
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Manchester United		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.91
	3.9	3.6	1.93
	3.9	3.65	1.95	Watch
	4.01	3.65	1.99
	7.41	4.30	1.44	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.91
	4	3.67	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.46)	3.71 ↑ (3.57)	1.87 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
22%

Draw
26.2%

Arsenal
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

26.9%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester United's form might have worsened.

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	34.6%	55.1%

Manchester United - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 7 - 9.1%). Arsenal will win (votes: 43 - 55.8%). It will Tie (votes: 27 - 35.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 44.7% – 66.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Arsenal (votes: 14 - 45.2%). Tie (votes: 15 - 48.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

DC - Man Utd (1.90) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Man Utd (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 19 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Man Utd (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 7 - 18.4%). Arsenal (votes: 16 - 42.1%). Tie (votes: 15 - 39.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayindir A. (G) 15. Yoro L. 4. de Ligt M. 23. Shaw L. 2. Dalot D. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 19. Mbeumo B. 10. Cunha M. 7. Mount M.	1. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. 14. Gyokeres V. 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
16. Diallo A. 33. Fredricson T. 22. Heaton T. (G) 26. Heaven A. 5. Maguire H. 37. Mainoo K. 30. Sesko B. 25. Ugarte M. 11. Zirkzee J.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 29. Havertz K. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 20. Madueke N. 23. Merino M. 3. Mosquera C. 22. Nwaneri E. 12. Timber J. 19. Trossard L.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Calafiori R. ⚽,
42', Calafiori R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Dalot D. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
60', Gyokeres V. ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
60', Martinelli G. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
65', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
65', Mount M. ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
72', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
72', Calafiori R. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
80', Shaw L. ↓, Maguire H. ↑,
83', Rice D. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
85', Dorgu P. 🟨,
85', Raya D. 🟨,
90+1', Timber J. 🟨,
90+3', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1.

Man Utd is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsenal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Arsenal is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Heaven A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Trossard L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Manchester United - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Premier League Summer Series
03.08.25	Manchester United - Everton	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:1 ✺
26.07.25	Manchester United - West Ham United	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Manchester United - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWWT
- Arsenal FC
Emirates Cup
09.08.25	Arsenal - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Arsenal - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
31.07.25	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Arsenal - Newcastle United	3:2 ✺
23.07.25	Arsenal - Milan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
09.03.25	Manchester United - Arsenal	1:1
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Arsenal - Manchester United	1:2 penalties
English Premier League
04.12.24	Arsenal - Manchester United	2:0
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Arsenal - Manchester United	2:1
English Premier League
12.05.24	Manchester United - Arsenal	0:1
03.09.23	Arsenal - Manchester United	3:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Arsenal - Manchester United	0:2

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