What is the expert prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

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Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, January 17, 2026)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Fox Sports, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, TeleXitos, UNIVERSO NOW
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24 At Sea


	Nottingham Forest		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.62
	5.9	3.95	1.62
	5.94	3.98	1.64	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.6
	6	4.1	1.61	Watch
	6	3.8	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.81 ↑ (5.6)	3.91 ↓ (4.26)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
16.5%

Draw
24.5%

Arsenal
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

22.1%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

21.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Nottingham Forest aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.2%	3.1%	88.8%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Nottingham (2.32) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Nottingham (4.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Nottingham (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Nottingham (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (86 of 96 users predict this - 89.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.47% – 95.69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 49 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 10 - 20.4%). Arsenal (votes: 38 - 77.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 8. Anderson E. 6. Sangare I. 16. Dominguez N. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 19. Igor Jesus 7. Hudson-Odoi C.	1. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 12. Timber J. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 20. Madueke N. 14. Gyökeres V. 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
9. Awoniyi T. 12. Douglas Luiz 18. Gunn A. (G) 21. Hutchinson O. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 14. Ndoye D. 37. Savona N. 22. Yates R.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 10. Eze E. 9. Gabriel Jesus 29. Havertz K. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 23. Merino M. 3. Mosquera C. 7. Saka B. 19. Trossard L.
Coaches
Dyche S.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Timber J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
57', Madueke N. ↓, Saka B. ↑,
57', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
57', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
76', Igor Jesus ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
79', Zubimendi M. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
89', Dominguez N. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
90', Aina O. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 0.

Nottingham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: John Victor (Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) Yates R. (Hamstring Injury) Zinchenko O. (Loan agreement)

There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury) Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Hincapie P. (Injury) Mosquera C. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.7:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71:27	44	85
16	Nottingham	38	11	11	16	48:51	-3	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Wrexham - Nottingham Forest	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Arsenal FC
English League Cup
14.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Portsmouth - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
English Premier League
08.01.26	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Arsenal - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.09.25	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	3:0
26.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0
23.11.24	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	3:0
30.01.24	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	1:2
12.08.23	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	2:1
20.05.23	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	1:0
30.10.22	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	5:0

Nottingham Forest - Arsenal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide