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Nottingham Forest - Arsenal

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: City Ground (Nottingham) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Nottingham Forest Arsenal
    Nottingham Forest Arsenal
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 6.92 ↑
    (5.8)    		 4.26 ↑
    (4.13)    		 1.52 ↓
    (1.59)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Nottingham Forest
    13.9%    		Draw
    22.6%    		Arsenal
    63.5%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    16.5% 23.2% 60.3%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    15.8% 22.3% 61.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    1.8% 7% 91.2%

    Nottingham Forest - Arsenal Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Arsenal (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (52 of 57 users predict this - 91.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.89% โ€“ 98.57%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    26. BelgiumSels M. (G)
    23. BrazilCunha
      2. IvoryDiomande O.
      5. BrazilMurillo
    27. ColombiaMunoz D.
    24. EnglandMcAtee J.
    21. AustriaSchlager X.
      3. WalesWilliams N. (C)
      8. ArgentinaDominguez N.
    14. SwitzerlandNdoye D.
    19. EnglandDelap L.
    		  1. SpainRaya D. (G)
      4. EnglandWhite B.
    15. EnglandKonsa E.
      6. BrazilGabriel
    33. ItalyCalafiori R.
    41. EnglandRice D.
    39. BrazilBruno Guimaraes
      7. EnglandSaka B.
      8. NorwayOdegaard M. (C)
    10. EnglandEze E.
    29. GermanyHavertz K.
    Substitutes
    34. NigeriaAina O.
      7. EnglandHudson-Odoi C.
    12. BrazilJohn Victor (G)
    15. FranceKalimuendo A.
    31. SerbiaMilenkovic N.
    25. GermanyNetz L.
      6. IvorySangare I.
      9. NewWood Ch.
    22. EnglandYates R.
    		56. EnglandDowman M.
    14. SwedenGyokeres V.
    49. EnglandLewis-Skelly M.
    20. EnglandMadueke N.
    23. SpainMerino M.
    30. FranceMeslier I. (G)
      3. SpainMosquera C.
    12. NetherlandsTimber J.
    36. SpainZubimendi M.
    Coaches
         AustriaGlasner O.
    		     SpainArteta M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 17', Williams N. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Eze E. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
    • 53', Madueke N. 🟨,
    • 66', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
    • 66', Havertz K. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
    • 66', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Merino M. ↑,
    • 74', Ndoye D. ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
    • 74', Dominguez N. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
    • 80', 0 - 1, Madueke N. ⚽, Rice D. (A),
    • 85', Cunha ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
    • 85', McAtee J. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,

    Preview

  • A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 0.
  • Nottingham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Arsenal shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
  • Arsenal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
  • Arsenal carries the favorite tag into this contest.
  • Confirmed absences for Nottingham: Igor Jesus (Calf Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury).
  • Confirmed absences for Arsenal: Hincapie P. (Ankle Injury) Saliba W. (Back Injury) Tzolis C. (Hamstring Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Nottingham: Gibbs-White M. (Injury) Milenkovic N. (Knee Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Arsenal: Zubimendi M. (Knock).
  • In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:26 (averaging 0.7:2.2 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Nottingham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    2Arsenal870113:5821
    18Nottingham81346:10-46

    Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Arsenal: 62.36% Nottingham: 0.22%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest 3:1 ✺
    19.09.26 Nottingham Forest - Coventry City 0:1 ✺
    12.09.26 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 1:2 ✺
    05.09.26 Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur 0:0 ✺
    29.08.26 Liverpool - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3
    LLWTT
    - Arsenal FC
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Arsenal - Lille 3:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Arsenal - Leeds United 2:1 ✺
    19.09.26 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 3:0 ✺
    English League Cup
    15.09.26 Ipswich Town - Arsenal 2:4 ✺
    English Premier League
    12.09.26 Sunderland - Arsenal 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7
    WWLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    17.01.26 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 0:0
    13.09.25 Arsenal - Nottingham Forest 3:0
    26.02.25 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 0:0
    23.11.24 Arsenal - Nottingham Forest 3:0
    30.01.24 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 1:2
    12.08.23 Arsenal - Nottingham Forest 2:1
    20.05.23 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Nottingham Forest
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Brentford - Nottingham Forest ✺
    - Arsenal FC
    UEFA Champions League
    04.11.26 Slavia Prague - Arsenal ✺
    English Premier League
    01.11.26 Liverpool - Arsenal ✺

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