Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Emirates Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, Play Sports Premier league, Play Sports Premier league
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 3, New World TV
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sport 3, Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	01:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Virgin Media Player
Israel	22:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, TV8
Japan	05:00	Wowow Cinema
Kazakhstan	02:00	Kazakhstan TV
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ 360, TVP 1, TVP Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin Media More
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+


	Arsenal		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.38	4.8	8
	1.52	4.6	6.3	Watch
	1.5	4.52	6.84
	1.5	4.47	6.92	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.51	4.46	6.96
	1.52	4.6	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	4.51 ↓ (5.15)	6.73 ↓ (8.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
64.5%

Draw
21.3%

PSV Eindhoven
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.7%

18.6%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

17.7%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	6%	11.9%

Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (54 of 64 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.49% – 93.27%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 15. Kiwior J. 6. Gabriel 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 41. Rice D. 20. Jorginho (C) 17. Zinchenko O. 30. Sterling R. 23. Merino M. 3. Tierney K.	1. Benitez W. (G) 37. Ledezma R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 3. Malacia T. 20. Til G. 22. Schouten J. (C) 26. Babadi I. 11. Bakayoko J. 5. Perisic I. 21. Driouech C.
Substitutes
37. Butler-Oyedeji N. 33. Calafiori R. 46. Kabia I. 11. Martinelli G. 32. Neto (G) 53. Nwaneri E. 8. Odegaard M. 5. Partey T. 2. Saliba W. 36. Setford T. (G) 12. Timber J. 19. Trossard L.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 18. Boscagli O. 9. de Jong L. 8. Dest S. 16. Drommel J. (G) 6. Flamingo R. 2. Karsdorp R. 28. Land T. 10. Lang N. 24. Schiks N. (G) 23. Veerman J.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Zinchenko O. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽, Til G. (A),
34', Babadi I. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Rice D. ⚽, Sterling R. (A),
42', Kiwior J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Schouten J. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
63', Rice D. 🟨,
64', Rice D. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
64', Merino M. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
68', Perisic I. ↓, de Jong L. ↑,
69', Obispo A. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Driouech C. ⚽, Babadi I. (A),
77', Nagalo A. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
79', Zinchenko O. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
79', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
79', Tierney K. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
80', Driouech C. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
90+3', Sterling R. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 7-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.

Recently PSV have a series of home games.

In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury) Tillman M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Kuhn W. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
09.03.25	Manchester United - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:7 ✺
English Premier League
26.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Arsenal - West Ham United	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Leicester City - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWTLW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:7 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.03.25	Go Ahead Eagles - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
26.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Juventus	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:7
12.12.23	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	1:1
20.09.23	Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven	4:0
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal	2:0
20.10.22	Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven	1:0

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