Match Info

Date: 8 April 2021, Thursday


	Arsenal		Slavia Prague

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5
	1.5	4.2	6.75
	1.52	4.25	6.8
	1.5	4.1	6.2
	1.53	4.23	6.67
	1.52	4	6.5
	1.55	4.4	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	4.2 ↓ (4.27)	6.57 ↑ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
62.8%

Draw
22.7%

Slavia Prague
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

13%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Slavia Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-27.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slavia Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.2%	12.5%	16.2%

Arsenal - Slavia Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 160 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 114 - 71.3%). Slavia Prague will win (votes: 26 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 64.3% – 78.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Arsenal was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (72%), has a chance of final (40%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Slavia Prague was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (28%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Recent matches Arsenal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Slavia Prague is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Arsenal is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
03.04.21	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
21.03.21	West Ham United - Arsenal	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Arsenal - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
14.03.21	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Arsenal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLWW
- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
04.04.21	Zbrojovka Brno - Slavia Prague	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Slavia Prague - Opava	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Glasgow Rangers - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.03.21	Mladá Boleslav - Slavia Prague	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Slavia Prague - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWT

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