Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBCSN, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24 At Sea


	Arsenal		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	5.75
	1.55	4.33	5.5
	1.58	4.4	5.4
	1.55	4.49	6.18	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.63	4.19	5.55	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.07)	4.24 ↑ (3.8)	5.53 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arsenal
60.3%

Draw
22.4%

Liverpool
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

24.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal's performance.

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.3%	21.8%	10.9%

Arsenal - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 99 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 66 - 66.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 11 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 57.4% – 76%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 24 - 72.7%). Liverpool (votes: 6 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Liverpool (5.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arsenal (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Arsenal (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Liverpool (votes: 7 - 19.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 6. Gabriel 5. Hincapie P. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. 14. Gyökeres V. 19. Trossard L.	1. Alisson (G) 12. Bradley C. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 30. Frimpong J. 8. Szoboszlai D. 7. Wirtz F. 18. Gakpo C.
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 10. Eze E. 9. Gabriel Jesus 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 23. Merino M. 16. Norgaard C. 4. White B.	14. Chiesa F. 2. Gomez J. 17. Jones C. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 47. Ramsay C. 26. Robertson A. 28. Woodman F. (G)
Coaches
Arteta M.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Trossard L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Hincapie P. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
64', Trossard L. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
64', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
78', Saka B. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
78', Odegaard M. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
83', Arteta M. 🟨,
90', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
90+3', Martinelli G. 🟨,
90+3', Konate I. 🟨,
90+5', Bradley C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1.

Arsenal is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Liverpool is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arsenal is the team to beat.

There will not play in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury) Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Mosquera C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Endo W. (Ankle Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (International duty) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Ekitike H. (Hamstring Injury)

We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:40. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 60.13% Liverpool: 6.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7:4	3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Arsenal - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
20.12.25	Everton - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
04.01.26	Fulham - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Liverpool - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
31.08.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:0
11.05.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	2:2
27.10.24	Arsenal - Liverpool	2:2
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Liverpool - Arsenal	2:1
English Premier League
04.02.24	Arsenal - Liverpool	3:1
English FA Cup
07.01.24	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:2
English Premier League
23.12.23	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:1

Upcoming Matches