Match Info

Date: 11 March 2021, Thursday


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.72
	5	3.75	1.72
	5.1	3.7	1.78
	4.9	3.65	1.69
	5.18	3.81	1.74
	5.25	3.6	1.7
	5.6	3.72	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (3.99)	3.71 ↑ (3.53)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
18.8%

Draw
25.8%

Arsenal
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.9%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

21.6%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	7.1%	76.2%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 168 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 28 - 16.7%). Arsenal will win (votes: 128 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 69.8% – 82.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Olympiacos was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (30%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Arsenal was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (70%), has a chance of semis (44%), has a chance of final (25%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Olympiacos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Olympiacos won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Olympiacos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
07.03.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Lamia	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
04.03.21	Aris - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.03.21	Volos - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.02.21	PSV Eindhoven - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
21.02.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTWLT
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
06.03.21	Burnley - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Leicester City - Arsenal	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.02.21	Arsenal - Benfica	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.02.21	Arsenal - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.02.21	Benfica - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
27.02.20	Arsenal - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2 ET
20.02.20	Olympiacos Piraeus - Arsenal	0:1
UEFA Champions League
09.12.15	Olympiacos Piraeus - Arsenal	0:3
29.09.15	Arsenal - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:3
04.12.12	Olympiacos Piraeus - Arsenal	2:1
03.10.12	Arsenal - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:1

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