What is the expert prediction for Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur?

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Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, November 23, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport 5, SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 24


	Arsenal		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.6	7.8
	1.41	5	8.01
	1.38	4.92	8.18	Watch
	1.48	4.56	8.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.38)	4.72 ↓ (5)	7.96 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
67.4%

Draw
20.5%

Tottenham Hotspur
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.1%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.2%	11.5%	10.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 59 - 77.6%). Tottenham will win (votes: 8 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 68.2% – 87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Tottenham (votes: 5 - 13.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Arsenal (1.81) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.25 - Tottenham (1.81) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Arsenal (1.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Arsenal (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 59 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 42 - 71.2%). Tottenham (votes: 12 - 20.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 8.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 5. Hincapie P. 33. Calafiori R. 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. (C) 10. Eze E. 19. Trossard L. 23. Merino M.	1. Vicario G. (G) 4. Danso K. 17. Romero C. (C) 37. van de Ven M. 24. Spence D. 6. Palhinha J. 30. Bentancur R. 13. Udogie D. 20. Kudus M. 28. Odobert W. 9. Richarlison
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 56. Dowman M. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 3. Mosquera C. 16. Norgaard C. 22. Nwaneri E. 4. White B.	15. Bergvall L. 14. Gray A. 22. Johnson B. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 39. Kolo Muani R. 23. Porro P. 29. Sarr P. M. 7. Simons X. 11. Tel M.
Coaches
Arteta M.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', Bentancur R. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Trossard L. ⚽, Merino M. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Eze E. ⚽, Rice D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Danso K. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
46', 3 - 0, Eze E. ⚽, Timber J. (A),
55', 3 - 1, Richarlison ⚽, Palhinha J. (A),
66', Odobert W. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
66', Bentancur R. ↓, Kolo Muani R. ↑,
70', Romero C. 🟨,
76', 4 - 1, Eze E. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
78', Trossard L. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
78', Kudus M. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
78', Spence D. ↓, Porro P. ↑,
87', Porro P. 🟨,
87', Rice D. 🟨,
88', Merino M. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
88', Hincapie P. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
90+2', Calafiori R. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3.

Arsenal is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tottenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Arsenal is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Hamstring Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Solanke D. (Ankle Injury) Takai K. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Muscle Injury) Gyökeres V. (Hamstring Injury) Madueke N. (Knee Injury) Martinelli G. (Muscle Injury) Odegaard M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Gray A. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
08.11.25	Sunderland - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Slavia Prague - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Burnley - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWWW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
08.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Copenhagen	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.25	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1
English Premier League
15.01.25	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1
15.09.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	0:1
28.04.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	2:3
24.09.23	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2
15.01.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	0:2
01.10.22	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	3:1

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