The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BATE Borisov 51.8%
Draw 26.1%
Belshina 22.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29.1%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
28.4%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BATE Borisov's performance.
Belshina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belshina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BATE Borisov that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belshina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
BATE Borisov - Belshina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Skopets A. (G) 25. Neskoromnyi N. 6. Moussakhanian H. 88. Dubovskiy P. 17. Kovalev Y. (C) 28. Mikhnyuk I. 52. Kress E. 7. Angban V. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 37. Puerto E. 26. Varaksa V.
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 3. Kuchinskiy A. 6. Lazarev D. 78. Yakushevich G. 17. Vikhrov I. 14. Davydov V. 8. Rusenchik V. 10. Kozlov Y. (C) 27. Zgurskiy L. 21. Golub N. 7. Achapovskiy A.
Substitutes
4. Ananasevich A. 23. Bochko N. 30. Gagloev T. 55. Kaplenko K. 18. Kolosovskiy P. 10. Rusakov E. 47. Sakhonchik A. 5. Sakuta M. 16. Sokol D. (G) 24. Yatskevich V.
66. Balotnikau K. 77. Kovalev V. 25. Makhmudov A. (G) 44. Malashkevich D. 15. Malykh K. 54. Patsenko N. (G) 5. Seleznev P. 9. Shvedchikov A. 19. Sokolovskiy N. 4. Solanovich V.
Coaches
Rogozhkin V.
Volodko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Lazarev D. 🟨,
43', Moussakhanian H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 🟨,
58', Khramtsevich Y. ↓, Bochko N. ↑,
58', Angban V. ↓, Rusakov E. ↑,
58', Moussakhanian H. ↓, Sakuta M. ↑,
61', Zgurskiy L. ↓, Solanovich V. ↑,
66', Lazarev D. ↓, Shvedchikov A. ↑,
70', Puerto E. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
79', Golub N. ↓, Kovalev V. ↑,
81', Neskoromnyi N. 🟥,
82', Kovalev V. 🟨,
83', Vikhrov I. 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Dubovskiy P. (Own goal),
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 13th and 14th in the Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 4.
Recent results have been tough for BATE (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Belshina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Belshina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with BATE holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, BATE has recorded 17 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:10 (averaging 2.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for BATE against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 24:6 goals (averaging 3:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Belshina
25
6
6
13
26:44
-18
24
14
BATE
26
4
9
13
19:33
-14
21
Last Results with these Odds
BATE Borisov - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.11%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Belshina - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.81%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Skopets A. (G) 
Moussakhanian H. 
Angban V. 
Khramtsevich Y. 
Puerto E. 
Ananasevich A. 
Makhmudov A. (G) 
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