Match Info

Date: 19 September 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.5
	1.83	3.4	4.3
	1.77	3.4	4.5
	1.81	3.55	4.97
	1.88	3.25	4.33
	1.83	3.54	4.3	Watch
	1.76	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.86)	3.43 ↑ (3.39)	4.51 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
51.9%

Draw
27.3%

Aldosivi
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

30.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.6%	16.5%	9.9%

Arsenal Sarandí - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 67 - 73.6%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 9 - 9.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 16.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal Sarandí: 64.5% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Aldosivi has the most likely position - 28 (57.66%), has project points - 21, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Arsenal Sarandí could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal Sarandí is a favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Lomonaco S. (Injury) Sanchez B. (Injury)

There will not play in Aldosivi: Meli M. (Injury) Morello M. (Injury) Schelotto E. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.09.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Vélez Sársfield	2:2 ✺
05.09.22	Godoy Cruz - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
26.08.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Lanús - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTL
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.22	Aldosivi - Newells Old Boys	1:2 ✺
08.09.22	Independiente - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
23.08.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.05.22	Aldosivi - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.10.21	Aldosivi - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.02.21	Aldosivi - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.03.20	Arsenal Sarandí - Aldosivi	4:0
26.03.17	Aldosivi - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
25.04.15	Arsenal Sarandí - Aldosivi	0:3

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