Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Flores A. (Arg)


	Independiente		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.75
	1.63	3.5	5.75
	1.63	3.5	5.6
	1.65	3.59	6.58
	1.64	3.54	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	5.9 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
57.4%

Draw
26.6%

Aldosivi
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

27.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.3%	25.7%	40%

Independiente - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 14 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldosivi: 23.8% – 56.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 25 and 26).

Independiente has the most likely position - 25 (9.41%), has project points - 29, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Aldosivi has the most likely position - 28 (35.85%), has project points - 24, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, very small importance 0, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Independiente is a favorite.

There will not play in Independiente: Rodriguez L. (Injury)

There will not play in Aldosivi: Meli M. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.09.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente	3:1 ✺
28.08.22	Independiente - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	1:1 ✺
16.08.22	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Lanús - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTTT
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.09.22	Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
23.08.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
18.08.22	Aldosivi - Vélez Sársfield	3:2 ✺
11.08.22	Godoy Cruz - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.04.22	Independiente - Aldosivi	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.10.21	Aldosivi - Independiente	1:0
01.12.19	Aldosivi - Independiente	0:0
10.03.19	Independiente - Aldosivi	2:0
26.05.17	Aldosivi - Independiente	0:0
01.11.15	Aldosivi - Independiente	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.14	Aldosivi - Independiente	0:0

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