The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Merlo 38.9%
Draw 35.6%
Deportivo Laferrere 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
34.3%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
33.6%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Deportivo Merlo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Laferrere will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa T. (G) 8. Aguerre F. 9. Aguirre D. E. 2. Figueredo L. 4. Ibarra L. 11. Maguicha D. 6. Minnicelli A. 5. Ojeda G. 7. Paez A. M. 10. Sandoval I. 3. Velasco A.
1. Libares T. (G) 10. Atardo G. 7. Benitez A. 11. Denis J. 3. Mamani L. 6. Nebot L. 4. Portillo B. 9. Rebecchi L. 2. Solis D. 5. Trejo E. 8. Vivas N.
Substitutes
14. Barrientos L. 15. Benitez F. 18. Cabrera D. 20. Cuenca C. 19. Diaz A. 17. Hernandez R. 12. Ratti V. (G) 16. Rios N. 13. Sineiro C.
12. Barraza L. (G) 16. Biondi R. 13. Cantero M. 14. Digangi M. 17. Digion R. 15. Manzi N. 18. Ortiz A. 19. Rodriguez E. 20. Vega D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Atardo G. 🟨,
26', Aguirre D. E. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Benitez A. ⚽,
43', Paez A. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
46', Paez A. M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
48', Mamani L. 🟨,
50', Solis D. 🟥,
52', Atardo G. ↓, Digangi M. ↑,
57', Ibarra L. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
57', Ojeda G. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
60', Minnicelli A. 🟨,
73', Benitez A. ↓, Digion R. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Sandoval I. ⚽,
82', Vivas N. 🟨,
85', Maguicha D. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Aguerre F. ⚽,
90+1', Vivas N. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
90+1', Mamani L. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 0.
Deportivo Merlo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deportivo Laferrere has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Laferrere
38
13
12
13
46:50
-4
51
15
Dep. Merlo
38
10
14
14
36:51
-15
44
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.14%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Figueroa T. (G) 
Hernandez R. 
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