The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Sarandí 62%
Draw 23.7%
San Martín de Burzaco 14.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.9%
26%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
26.3%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Burzaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+5%)
Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 2. Brienzo N. 11. Del Col M. 9. Franco L. 7. Frascone N. 8. Lucero M. 4. Payes A. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 10. Sosa M. 5. Vila J.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 8. Denis K. 11. Gauna N. A. 5. Gonzalez R. 6. Lazarev R. 4. Lezcano L. 2. Orellana D. 3. Siliman A. 10. Velazquez R. 7. Zagert E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Brienzo N. 🟨,
37', Zagert E. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Velazquez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Franco L. ⚽,
48', Siliman A. 🟨,
49', 2 - 1, Sosa M. ⚽,
56', 3 - 1, Del Col M. ⚽,
64', Denis K. 🟨,
66', Siliman A. ↓, Barrera N. ↑,
66', Lezcano L. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
66', Denis K. ↓, Muzzio M. ↑,
71', Del Col M. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
75', Lucero M. ↓, Wrubel E. ↑,
75', Franco L. ↓, Goncebat J. ↑,
76', Zagert E. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
81', Chavez B. 🟨,
82', Sosa M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
82', Frascone N. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs and 11th).
In recent outings, Arsenal Sarandí has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
SM de Burzaco is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arsenal Sarandí holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Arsenal Sarandí has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Arsenal Sarandi ✔
41
21
13
7
55:27
28
76
11
San Martin Burzaco
41
12
15
14
41:46
-5
51
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 20.09%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Lobelos J. (G) 
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