Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Arsenal Sarandí		San Martín de Burzaco

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	4.8	Watch
	1.59	3.65	5.2	Watch
	1.6	3.45	4.8
	1.59	3.58	5.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	4.97 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
56.4%

Draw
25.5%

San Martín de Burzaco
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

27.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs and 11th).

Arsenal Sarandí has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

SM de Burzaco shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Arsenal Sarandí is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Arsenal Sarandí has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 20.09%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
03.10.26	Villa San Carlos - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Liniers	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Pilar - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - UAI Urquiza	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Villa Dálmine - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW
- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
03.10.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Merlo	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Martín de Burzaco	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Brown de Adrogué - San Martín de Burzaco	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
31.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0

Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Burzaco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide