Match Info

Primera B - Round 38

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Genacio Salice Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Villa San Carlos		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	3.20	2.87	2.15
	3.30	2.85	2.10	Watch
	3.46	2.82	2.29
	3.55	2.85	2.17	Watch
	3.35	2.70	2.25
	3.35	2.88	2.36
	3.15	2.85	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (4.53)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	2.22 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa San Carlos
27.1%

Draw
32%

Arsenal Sarandí
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

29.1%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

28.3%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa San Carlos's performance.

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Sarandí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa San Carlos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Sarandí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villa San Carlos - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bangardino P. (G) 2. Areco G. 3. Canete S. 6. Esteves I. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 7. Lugones A. 11. Mussis F. 10. Ponton A. 9. Salinas R.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 2. Brienzo N. 6. Cabrera I. 11. Del Col M. 8. Frascone N. 9. Kestler I. 4. Payes A. 3. Perez D. (C) 10. Sosa M. 7. Vega A. 5. Vila J.
Substitutes
15. Acosta A. 12. Akimenco T. (G) 20. Almiron M. 16. Cairo F. 14. Fabi S. 13. Machin L. 19. Plastino M. 17. Villagra J. 18. Zegarra Z.	14. Antilef A. 15. Cabral D. 13. Caceres R. 19. Franco L. 17. La Roza U. 16. Lucero M. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 18. Wrubel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Areco G. 🟨,
34', Kestler I. ↓, Franco L. ↑,
39', Canete S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Brienzo N. 🟨,
72', Mussis F. ↓, Cairo F. ↑,
76', Lloyaiy A. ↓, Machin L. ↑,
80', Frascone N. ↓, Wrubel E. ↑,
83', Ponton A. ↓, Acosta A. ↑,
83', Salinas R. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
84', Lugones A. 🟨,
87', Del Col M. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs).

Villa San Carlos has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arsenal Sarandí shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Arsenal Sarandí holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Villa San Carlos has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
13	Villa San Carlos	39	11	14	14	37:43	-6	47

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal Sarandí - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 50.98%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
26.09.26	Argentino de Merlo - Villa San Carlos	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Villa San Carlos - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Villa San Carlos - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Armenio - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTTTL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
26.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Liniers	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Pilar - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - UAI Urquiza	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Villa Dálmine - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Excursionistas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa San Carlos	2:2

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