The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tristán Suárez 40.5%
Draw 32.5%
Deportivo Madryn 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
33%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
33.8%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.
Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Madryn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Madryn Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Tristán Suárez (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tristán Suárez (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sumavil N. (G) 5. Del Priore N. 9. Dominguez A. 4. Felissia L. 11. Fernandez M. 3. Fernandez N. 2. Ostachuk P. 6. Pantaleone N. 7. Steimbach A. 10. Veliez A. 8. Villegas L.
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 7. Crego D. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 3. Martinez D. 8. Perez B. 6. Postel S. 5. Recalde F. 11. Rivero G. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N. 4. Sosa A.
Substitutes
18. Almada A. 20. Almiron E. 19. Da Rosa J. E. 12. Monllor D. (G) 16. Moreyra G. 14. Olguin M. 15. Perez T. 17. Ruiz P. 13. Taron M.
20. Ayala E. 16. Bustos A. 17. Cascini B. 12. Hass J. (G) 19. Mana N. 13. Mansilla M. 14. Minissale P. 18. Montagna E. 15. Pruzzo L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Ostachuk P. 🟨,
18', Perez B. 🟨,
29', Fernandez M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Veliez A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
58', Silba L. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
58', Martinez D. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Giacopuzzi F. ⚽, Solis N. (A),
68', 1 - 2, Rivero G. ⚽,
75', Steimbach A. ↓, Moreyra G. ↑,
75', Villegas L. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Da Rosa J. E. ⚽, Veliez A. (A),
83', Perez B. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
88', Perez T. 🟨,
88', Recalde F. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
89', Rivero G. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,
90', Dominguez A. ↓, Almada A. ↑,
90', Veliez A. ↓, Almiron E. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
Tristán Suárez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Madryn is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).