Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Alvarado		Tristán Suárez

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	3.3	Watch
	2.45	2.75	3
	2.52	2.68	3.1	Watch
	2.67	2.86	3.18
	2.78	2.63	3.02	Watch
	2.6	2.7	3.1
	2.54	2.7	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.37)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	3.12 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
36%

Draw
34.2%

Tristán Suárez
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

33.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

34%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Alvarado - Tristán Suárez Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Silva K. 6. Blasi B. (C) 3. Irazoque A. 5. Mansilla M. 8. Ortale M. 7. Martinez E. 10. Miori M. 11. Gobetto J. 9. Bolzicco T.	1. Sumavil N. (G) 4. Felissia L. 2. Ostachuk P. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Fernandez N. 5. Del Priore N. 8. Villegas L. 7. Steimbach A. 10. Veliez A. 11. Fernandez M. 9. Dominguez A.
Substitutes
16. Aleo A. 19. Amilivia T. 17. Becker D. 13. Fernandez T. 14. Gorgerino C. 12. Henricot F. (G) 20. Ortiz D. 18. Russo F. 15. Werro V.	18. Almada A. 20. Almiron E. 19. Da Rosa J. E. 12. Monllor D. (G) 16. Moreyra G. 14. Olguin M. 15. Perez T. 17. Ruiz P. 13. Taron M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Fernandez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Martinez E. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
55', Ortale M. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
63', Bolzicco T. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
63', Miori M. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
67', Veliez A. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
67', Fernandez M. ↓, Almada A. ↑,
76', Irazoque A. ↓, Gorgerino C. ↑,
80', 🟨,
84', Steimbach A. ↓, Olguin M. ↑,
90+4', Dominguez A. ↓, Taron M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Alvarado - Güemes	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Club Almagro - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTLWT
- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.25	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Tristán Suárez - Los Andes	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.25	Tristán Suárez - Alvarado	2:1
20.07.24	Alvarado - Tristán Suárez	1:2
02.03.24	Tristán Suárez - Alvarado	2:2
04.03.22	Tristán Suárez - Alvarado	3:3

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