Match Info

FNL - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Sidorin A. (Rus)


	Arsenal Tula		Chayka Peschanokopskoye

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.34	7.58
	1.42	4.22	7.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	4.28 ↑ (4.1)	7.67 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
65.7%

Draw
22%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

23.2%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

22.6%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Arsenal Tula - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tsulaya M. (G) 4. Penchikov D. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 8. Popov A. 25. Troshechkin A. 21. Razdorskikh N. 10. Gorbunov I. 14. Brnovic M. 27. Mirzov R. 9. Kalmykov A.	58. Fadeev S. (G) 6. Petin Y. 39. Maslov P. (C) 27. Krutovskikh A. 15. Rogochiy B. 8. Rosputko O. 10. Dzhebov A. 7. Gulyaev E. 18. Sokolov A. 83. Ishchenko N. 91. Stolyarov D.
Substitutes
17. Ahlinvi M. 59. Avanesyan T. 24. Azyavin I. 77. Berdnikov A. 44. Isaenko O. 78. Lipovoy D. 29. Maksimov M. 42. Melikhov A. (G) 95. Obryvkov S. 15. Putsko A. 1. Sangare D. (G) 5. Sergeev D.	20. Biblik S. 89. Chervyakov R. 87. Filev A. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 69. Gurylev A. 19. Ivanov I. 14. Kaptilovich D. 88. Markelov I. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S. 22. Uzhgin M.
Coaches
Gunko D.	Kombarov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Rosputko O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gulyaev E. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
46', Mirzov R. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
64', Brnovic M. ↓, Ahlinvi M. ↑,
64', Troshechkin A. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
71', Rogochiy B. 🟨,
72', Ishchenko N. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
73', Bolshakov K. 🟨,
81', Sokolov A. ↓, Kaptilovich D. ↑,
81', Popov A. ↓, Berdnikov A. ↑,
86', Kalmykov A. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Bolshakov K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Arsenal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peschanokopskoye is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Arsenal is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
03.11.25	Rotor - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.25	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	2:3 ✺
Russian FNL
24.10.25	Arsenal Tula - Ural	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Chelyabinsk - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Arsenal Tula - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLTW
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL
03.11.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - KAMAZ	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ural	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - KAMAZ	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.08.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula	0:3
17.03.25	Arsenal Tula - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0
21.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula	2:2

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