Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 18

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Cheremnykh M. (Rus)


	Arsenal Tula		Krasnodar 2

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.95	5.2
	1.49	4.5	6.11
	1.47	4.33	6.3	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.47)	4.32 ↑ (3.92)	5.9 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
63%

Draw
21.4%

Krasnodar 2
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

13.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Krasnodar 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Tula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Arsenal Tula - Krasnodar 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Krasnodar 2 will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Arsenal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krasnodar 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Krasnodar 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
06.11.22	KAMAZ - Arsenal Tula	0:1 ✺
28.10.22	Shinnik - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Arsenal Tula - Volgar Astrakhan	3:2 ✺
16.10.22	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
10.10.22	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
06.11.22	Krasnodar 2 - Volgar Astrakhan	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Veles Moscow - Krasnodar 2	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Krasnodar 2 - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar 2	5:2 ✺
09.10.22	Krasnodar 2 - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.07.22	Krasnodar 2 - Arsenal Tula	0:3

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