Match Info

Date: 10 October 2022, Monday


	Arturo Fernández Vial		San Luis de Quillota

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.8
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.9	3.15	3.8
	1.88	3.04	4.89
	1.95	2.88	4
	1.83	3.18	4.55	Watch
	1.93	3.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	4.16 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arturo Fernández Vial
48.3%

Draw
29.8%

San Luis de Quillota
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.8%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arturo Fernández Vial's performance.

San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Luis de Quillota might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arturo Fernández Vial that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Luis de Quillota could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Arturo Fernández Vial - San Luis de Quillota Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fernandez Vial will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

San Luis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arturo Fernández Vial will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.10.22	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Copiapó	1:2 ✺
12.09.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:1 ✺
06.09.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
29.08.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Santiago Morning	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWTL
- San Luis de Quillota
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.10.22	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Iquique	0:0 ✺
26.09.22	Deportes Temuco - San Luis de Quillota	1:0 ✺
07.09.22	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:3 ✺
30.08.22	Deportes Melipilla - San Luis de Quillota	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	San Luis de Quillota - Unión San Felipe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.05.22	San Luis de Quillota - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0
22.09.21	Arturo Fernández Vial - San Luis de Quillota	2:2
12.09.21	San Luis de Quillota - Arturo Fernández Vial	3:2

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