Match Info

Date: 31 May 2022, Tuesday


	Arturo Fernández Vial		Unión San Felipe

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.17	2.7	3.3
	2.22	2.7	3.45
	2.38	2.72	3.61
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.38	2.88	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)	2.76 ↓ (2.88)	3.35 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arturo Fernández Vial
39.9%

Draw
32.9%

Unión San Felipe
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

34.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión San Felipe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

The ML Model estimate for Arturo Fernández Vial aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	29.2%	45.8%

Arturo Fernández Vial - Unión San Felipe Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Fernandez Vial will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión San Felipe: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Promotion)).

Arturo Fernández Vial is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Unión San Felipe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unión San Felipe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arturo Fernández Vial won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.05.22	Cobreloa - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:0 ✺
15.05.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Barnechea	0:1 ✺
12.05.22	San Luis de Quillota - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Deportes Copiapó - Arturo Fernández Vial	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTL
- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.05.22	Deportes Copiapó - Unión San Felipe	0:1 ✺
21.05.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
16.05.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
12.05.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
08.05.22	Deportes Magallanes - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.10.21	Arturo Fernández Vial - Unión San Felipe	1:3
13.10.21	Unión San Felipe - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:1

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