Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 38

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)


	Ascoli		Pisa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.8
	1.78	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.79	3.5	5.09
	1.79	3.5	5.05
	1.65	3.6	5
	1.8	3.55	4.68	Watch
	1.73	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	4.91 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
53.7%

Draw
27.1%

Pisa
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

27.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

27.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	33.3%	3.7%

Ascoli - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Pisa will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 33. Botteghin E. 55. Bellusci G. 3. Mantovani V. 23. Falzerano M. 73. Masini P. 10. Caligara F. 41. Valzania L. 7. Zedadka K. 30. Nestorovski I. 99. Rodriguez P.	1. Nicolas A. (G) 42. Barbieri T. 5. Canestrelli S. 27. Valoti M. 20. Beruatto P. 28. Arena A. 8. Marin M. 10. Torregrossa E. 30. De Vitis A. 77. D'Alessandro M. 32. Moreo S.
Substitutes
17. Adjapong C. 13. Celia R. 18. Di Tacchio F. 15. D'Uffizi S. 29. Duris D. 8. Giovane S. 20. Milanese T. 14. Quaranta D. 11. Streng J. 19. Tarantino J. 16. Vaisanen S. 2. Viviano E. (G)	9. Bonfanti N. 34. Campani M. (G) 22. Loria L. (G) 26. Masucci G. 17. Mlakar J. 36. Piccinini G. 16. Sala M. 15. Toure I. 7. Tramoni L. 14. Trdan M. 44. Veloso M.
Coaches
Carrera M.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Marin M. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Botteghin E. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Caligara F. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, D'Alessandro M. ⚽, Valoti M. (A),
65', Moreo S. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
65', Valzania L. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
65', Falzerano M. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
65', Nestorovski I. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Rodriguez P. ⚽,
73', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
74', Torregrossa E. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
74', De Vitis A. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
76', Valoti M. ↓, Veloso M. ↑,
80', Zedadka K. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
80', Caligara F. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
87', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Sala M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Ascoli is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Palermo - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
01.05.24	Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Ternana - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ascoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Cittadella - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLWTT
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Pisa - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2 ✺
01.05.24	Cremonese - Pisa	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	Pisa - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Bari - Pisa	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Pisa - FeralpiSalò	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Pisa - Ascoli	1:0
01.05.23	Ascoli - Pisa	2:1
08.12.22	Pisa - Ascoli	2:0
16.03.22	Ascoli - Pisa	2:0
01.11.21	Pisa - Ascoli	1:1
02.03.21	Ascoli - Pisa	0:2
08.12.20	Pisa - Ascoli	2:1

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