Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 33

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Volpi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cittadella		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	4.2	Watch
	2.15	3	3.7
	2.15	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.17	3	4.3
	2.17	2.93	4.3
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.15	3	3.95	Watch
	2.17	2.9	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.08)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	3.96 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
44.2%

Draw
31.9%

Ascoli
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

31%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

30.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

Cittadella - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 15. Frare D. 18. Tessiore A. 16. Vita A. 23. Branca S. (C) 20. Carriero G. 24. Carissoni L. 10. Cassano C. 7. Pandolfi L.	32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 3. Mantovani V. 16. Vaisanen S. 14. Quaranta D. 23. Falzerano M. 73. Masini P. 10. Caligara F. 18. Di Tacchio F. 7. Zedadka K. 29. Duris D. 99. Rodriguez P.
Substitutes
64. Cecchetto A. 29. Djibril A. 98. Giraudo F. 9. Magrassi A. 32. Maistrello T. 77. Maniero L. (G) 5. Mastrantonio V. 28. Rizza A. 21. Saggionetto N. 6. Sottini E. 1. Veneran F. (G)	17. Adjapong C. 13. Celia R. 15. D'Uffizi S. 8. Giovane S. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 22. Mengucci G. (G) 20. Milanese T. 30. Nestorovski I. 11. Streng J. 44. Tavcar A. 41. Valzania L. 2. Viviano E. (G)
Coaches
Gorini E.	Carrera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Masini P. 🟨,
38', Tessiore A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tessiore A. ↓, Magrassi A. ↑,
48', Branca S. 🟨,
59', Vita A. 🟨,
64', Frare D. ↓, Sottini E. ↑,
72', Caligara F. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
73', Cassano C. ↓, Mastrantonio V. ↑,
76', Rodriguez P. ↓, Nestorovski I. ↑,
76', Duris D. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
88', Carissoni L. ↓, Giraudo F. ↑,
88', Pandolfi L. ↓, Maistrello T. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cittadella will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
06.04.24	Reggiana - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Lecco - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Cittadella - Modena	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cittadella - Pisa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTTL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
07.04.24	Ascoli - Venezia	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Spezia - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ascoli - Lecco	4:1 ✺
11.03.24	Sampdoria - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Ascoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0
04.02.23	Cittadella - Ascoli	3:0
03.09.22	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0
25.04.22	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0
11.12.21	Cittadella - Ascoli	2:0
07.05.21	Ascoli - Cittadella	2:0
16.01.21	Cittadella - Ascoli	1:0

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