Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 34

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ascoli		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.75	Watch
	2.7	2.87	2.8
	2.8	2.85	2.8	Watch
	2.96	2.85	2.91
	2.96	2.85	2.91
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.79	3.02	2.74	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.81)	2.92 ↓ (2.99)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
33.7%

Draw
32.4%

Modena
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

31.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

32.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	78.9%	0%

Ascoli - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 78.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 16. Vaisanen S. 3. Mantovani V. 14. Quaranta D. 23. Falzerano M. 73. Masini P. 8. Giovane S. 18. Di Tacchio F. 7. Zedadka K. 99. Rodriguez P. 30. Nestorovski I.	26. Gagno R. (G) 27. Riccio A. 19. Zaro G. 4. Pergreffi A. 8. Santoro S. 23. Battistella T. 5. Palumbo A. 29. Cotali M. 10. Tremolada L. 32. Strizzolo L. 9. Gliozzi E.
Substitutes
55. Bellusci G. 10. Caligara F. 13. Celia R. 29. Duris D. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 22. Mengucci G. (G) 20. Milanese T. 11. Streng J. 19. Tarantino J. 44. Tavcar A. 41. Valzania L. 2. Viviano E. (G)	90. Abiuso F. 30. Bozhanaj K. 33. Cauz C. 91. Corrado N. 73. Di Stefano L. 77. Duca E. 31. Leonardi T. (G) 6. Magnino L. 17. Manconi J. 42. Mondele L. 99. Oukhadda S. 12. Seculin A. (G)
Coaches
Carrera M.	Bisoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Riccio A. 🟨,
45+1', Nestorovski I. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Riccio A. ↓, Oukhadda S. ↑,
46', Oukhadda S. 🟨,
58', Nestorovski I. ↓, Duris D. ↑,
58', Vaisanen S. ↓, Bellusci G. ↑,
59', Strizzolo L. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
60', Tremolada L. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
65', Giovane S. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
73', Gliozzi E. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
78', Rodriguez P. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
78', Falzerano M. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
86', Magnino L. 🟨,
88', Masini P. 🟨,
90+1', Caligara F. 🟨,
90+2', Zedadka K. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.

Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Modena is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
13.04.24	Cittadella - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ascoli - Venezia	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Spezia - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ascoli - Lecco	4:1 ✺
11.03.24	Sampdoria - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLWL
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
12.04.24	Modena - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Ternana - Modena	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Modena - Bari	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Cittadella - Modena	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Modena - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.08.23	Modena - Ascoli	1:0
01.03.23	Modena - Ascoli	0:1
08.10.22	Ascoli - Modena	1:2
01.03.16	Ascoli - Modena	2:1
17.10.15	Modena - Ascoli	2:1
13.04.13	Ascoli - Modena	2:3
17.11.12	Modena - Ascoli	1:1

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