Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Mastrodomenico L. (Ita)


	Ascoli		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.7
	2.75	2.9	2.75	Watch
	2.95	2.92	2.91
	2.95	2.91	2.91
	2.62	3	2.62
	2.77	3	2.72	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)	2.93 ↓ (3.14)	2.77 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
33.6%

Draw
32.3%

Cittadella
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.6%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	26.7%	46.7%

Ascoli - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Cittadella will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 55. Bellusci G. 33. Botteghin E. 14. Quaranta D. 17. Adjapong C. 20. Milanese T. 18. Di Tacchio F. 73. Masini P. 54. Falasco N. 90. Mendes P. 99. Rodriguez P.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 30. Negro S. 24. Carissoni L. 16. Vita A. 23. Branca S. (C) 20. Carriero G. 18. Tessiore A. 9. Magrassi A. 11. Pittarello F.
Substitutes
1. Barosi D. (G) 40. Bayeye B. J. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 15. D'Uffizi S. 23. Falzerano M. 5. Gnahore E. 3. Haveri K. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 28. Manzari G. 7. Millico V. 30. Nestorovski I. 96. Rossi E.	4. Angeli M. 10. Cassano C. 27. Danzi A. 15. Frare D. 17. Kornvig E. 32. Maistrello T. 77. Maniero L. (G) 5. Mastrantonio V. 7. Pandolfi L. 28. Rizza A. 21. Saggionetto N. 6. Sottini E.
Coaches
Castori F.	Gorini E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.

Ascoli is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cittadella in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Pisa - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ascoli - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ascoli - Spezia	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Venezia - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Reggiana - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLT
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Cittadella - Spezia	4:1 ✺
16.12.23	Modena - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.02.23	Cittadella - Ascoli	3:0
03.09.22	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0
25.04.22	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0
11.12.21	Cittadella - Ascoli	2:0
07.05.21	Ascoli - Cittadella	2:0
16.01.21	Cittadella - Ascoli	1:0
17.07.20	Cittadella - Ascoli	1:2

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